Take Your Investing Game to the Next Level with Google Finance Watchlist!

Welcome to the 19th edition of our newsletter, where we explore cutting-edge strategies and tools to help you thrive in the dynamic world of investing and trading. This issue is packed with actionable insights, from mastering Google Finance Watchlist for smarter portfolio tracking to uncovering the secrets of after-hours trading. Whether you're a busy professional looking to dive into Forex trading or curious about leveraging AI in Fintech, you'll find valuable tips and techniques to elevate your financial game. Let’s dive in and unlock new opportunities together!

What’s Happening

🚀 Take Your Investing Game to the Next Level with Google Finance Watchlist!

Description: Discover how to streamline your portfolio tracking, set alerts, and leverage real-time data using Google Finance Watchlist—your ultimate investor tool—read the full guide here.

🌙 After-Hours Trading Secrets: Maximize Your Market Moves Beyond 4 PM!

 Uncover the advantages, risks, and strategies of after-hours trading to capitalize on market opportunities when others are offline—read the full guide here.

💼 Forex Trading Made Easy for Busy Professionals: Strategies to Earn on the Side!

Learn essential skills, strategies, and tools to succeed as a part-time forex trader while balancing your professional commitments—read the full article here.

📈 Insider Trading Decoded: Two Proven Strategies to Build Profitable Portfolios!

Discover how to leverage legal insider trading data using StarMine models to design high-performing portfolios and unlock market insights—read the full guide here.

🤖 Revolutionize Fintech with AI: Unlock Efficiency, Security, and Innovation!

Discover how AI is transforming Fintech through predictive analytics, fraud detection, and personalized services while addressing ethical and regulatory challenges—read the full article here.

Spotlight on Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Current Price: $131.39 (as of April 25, 2025)
Intrinsic Value: $153.47–$274 (DCF-based models)
Undervaluation Range: 10%–53%

Oracle Corporation, a global leader in enterprise software and cloud infrastructure, is navigating a pivotal transformation driven by AI and multi-cloud adoption. Despite recent volatility, its strategic investments and aggressive growth targets suggest significant upside potential.

Why Oracle Is Undervalued

1. Cloud & AI Infrastructure Expansion

• $16B CapEx in FY2025: Doubling data center capacity to meet surging AI/cloud demand, including deploying the world’s largest AI supercluster (65,000 NVIDIA H200 GPUs).
• Stargate Partnership: A $500B joint venture with OpenAI and SoftBank to build next-gen AI infrastructure, positioning Oracle as a critical player in hyperscale AI training.
• Multi-Cloud Momentum: Cloud revenue grew 24% YoY in Q3 FY2025, with Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) up 62% to $130B—a record high signaling strong future revenue.

2. Valuation Disconnect

• DCF Models: Intrinsic value estimates range from $153.47 (AlphaSpread) to $274 (Simply Wall St), implying 10%–53% upside from current levels.
• Analyst Targets: Consensus price target of $180.47 (40% upside), with bullish forecasts up to $246.

3. Market Overreaction to Short-Term Pressures

• Shares trade 34% below their 52-week high ($198.31), weighed down by concerns over cloud competition (AWS, Azure) and macroeconomic headwinds.
• Non-GAAP operating margins remain strong at 44%, reflecting disciplined cost management despite heavy AI investments.

Growth Catalysts

1. AI-Driven Cloud Demand

• Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) GPU consumption surged 244% YoY, driven by AI training workloads. Partnerships with Palantir and Google Cloud amplify its AI ecosystem.
• Generative AI Tools: Launch of Oracle Clinical Digital Assistant (automated healthcare documentation) and AI agents for industries like logistics and finance.

2. Vertical Integration Advantage

• Unique ability to combine database, AI, and industry-specific applications (e.g., Oracle Health via Cerner’s $28.3B acquisition) creates sticky enterprise relationships.
• Database Dominance: 92% growth in multi-cloud database revenue, with deep integrations into AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud.

3. Long-Term Financial Targets

• FY2029 Revenue Goal: $104B (double FY2024’s $53B), fueled by 20%+ annual cloud growth and AI adoption.
• EPS Growth: Projected to rise from $1.47 in Q3 FY2025 to $26+ by 2030, driven by margin expansion and scale.

Risks to Consider

• Execution Risk: Aggressive cloud capacity expansion requires flawless delivery to meet $130B RPO commitments.
• Hyperscaler Competition: AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud control ~65% of the cloud market, pressuring Oracle’s niche play.
• Debt Load: Enterprise value of $454B includes significant leverage, though cash flow stability supports dividend growth (25% hike in 2025).

Analyst Sentiment

• 26 Buy Ratings, 0 Sell: Analysts highlight Oracle’s “uniquely integrated” AI/cloud stack and discounted valuation relative to peers.
• Price Targets:
  • Bull Case: $246 (UBS, Barclays).
  • Base Case: $180.47 (Consensus).
  • Bear Case: $135 (Goldman Sachs).

Conclusion

Oracle’s stock, trading at $131.39, reflects short-term skepticism overshadowing its AI and cloud infrastructure potential. With a 10%–53% undervaluation gap and catalysts like Stargate and OCI’s GPU leadership, ORCL offers asymmetric upside for investors comfortable with execution risks. The company’s vertical integration and $130B RPO backlog provide a margin of safety, making it a compelling pick in the tech sector’s AI arms race.

Key Takeaway: Oracle is a high-conviction play on enterprise AI adoption, trading at a discount to its long-term cloud and data infrastructure potential.

Market Outlook: April 28 – May 2, 2025

Overview

The final week of April into early May is set to be a pivotal period for global financial markets, with a heavy slate of economic data, high-profile corporate earnings, and ongoing geopolitical developments likely to drive volatility and investor sentiment.

Key Themes & Events

• Corporate Earnings: Major global companies, especially in the US and Europe, will release quarterly results. Earnings from tech giants (such as Tesla and SAP), financials, and industrials will provide critical insight into sector health, demand trends, and forward guidance. Markets are expected to react sharply to surprises, particularly in technology and consumer sectors.
• Economic Data:
  • US: Watch for consumer sentiment, inflation expectations, and manufacturing indices, which will help shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy and economic momentum.
  • Europe: The European Central Bank is expected to remain dovish, with weak growth and falling inflation likely to prompt further discussion of rate cuts.
  • Asia-Pacific: China’s loan prime rate decisions and industrial profit data will be closely watched for signs of economic stabilization. Australia will see key releases on producer prices and retail sales, important for assessing the impact of RBA policy.
• Monetary Policy: Central bank signals remain a key market driver. The US Fed’s tone, ECB policy, and RBA rate expectations are all in focus. Markets are sensitive to any hints of rate cuts or policy pivots, especially with global growth showing divergence.
• Geopolitics: The IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings (April 25–27) may yield headlines on global economic policy, debt, and coordinated responses to ongoing challenges. US-China trade tensions remain an underlying risk, with any new developments likely to move equities, commodities, and currencies1.

Sector & Regional Highlights

Market Sentiment

• Risk-On Tone: Recent rallies in equities, especially in Australia and the US, reflect a shift to risk-on sentiment amid hopes for policy easing and improved trade relations. However, this optimism is fragile and could reverse quickly on negative earnings or policy surprises.
• Volatility Expected: With so many moving parts—earnings, data, central banks, and geopolitics—markets are likely to see above-average volatility. Investors should be prepared for swings, particularly around major announcements and data releases.

Summary

The week ahead is likely to be a turning point, with heightened sensitivity to earnings, economic data, and policy signals. Stay alert for volatility, as surprises in any of these areas could set the tone for risk assets into May.

Key Takeaway:
Remain nimble and watch for earnings surprises, policy shifts, and geopolitical headlines—these will be the main drivers of market direction as April closes and May begins.

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Final Key Takeaway

As we wrap up this edition, remember that success in investing and trading is about staying informed, embracing innovation, and adapting to changing market dynamics. Whether it's using Google Finance Watchlist for real-time portfolio management, exploring after-hours trading strategies, or leveraging AI for efficiency and security in Fintech, every tool and strategy you adopt brings you closer to achieving your financial goals. Apply these insights, stay proactive, and keep pushing boundaries—your journey to financial success starts here!